Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 2
Everton

Aribo (49')
Maitland-Niles (8'), Armstrong (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coady (52'), McNeil (54')
Gueye (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, September 18 at 2.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 1-1 Everton

Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points as they bid to finish the weekend inside the top half of the table. However, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards at St Mary's and with little to separate them, we feel that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Everton
40.53% ( -0)	26.54% ( 0)	32.93% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.09% (

52.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.48% (

74.51% (

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

-0)

25.68% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41%

60.59% (

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

30.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

66.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Southampton 40.53%

Everton 32.93%

Draw 26.54%

Southampton	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.53%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.93%