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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Dean Court
Southampton logo

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Southampton


Mepham (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (9')
Perraud (15'), Maitland-Niles (43'), Armstrong (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Bournemouth 1-0 Southampton

Defensive failures have plagued Southampton on the road for several months now, and such frailties could only be exposed more without the bright Bella-Kotchap marshalling the backline. Bournemouth's extra rest day will also work in their favour, and we can envisage O'Neil's side keeping their unbeaten run going with a one-goal success versus the out-of-form Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
42.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 26.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.07% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.87% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.49%
    Southampton 31.07%
    Draw 26.43%
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Southampton

Bournemouth
69.0%
Draw
19.9%
Southampton
11.1%
332
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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