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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Dean Court
Southampton logo

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Southampton


Mepham (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (9')
Perraud (15'), Maitland-Niles (43'), Armstrong (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Bournemouth 1-0 Southampton

Defensive failures have plagued Southampton on the road for several months now, and such frailties could only be exposed more without the bright Bella-Kotchap marshalling the backline. Bournemouth's extra rest day will also work in their favour, and we can envisage O'Neil's side keeping their unbeaten run going with a one-goal success versus the out-of-form Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
42.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 26.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.07% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.87% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.49%
    Southampton 31.07%
    Draw 26.43%
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Southampton

Bournemouth
69.0%
Draw
19.9%
Southampton
11.1%
332
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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