We said: Bournemouth 1-0 Southampton
Defensive failures have plagued Southampton on the road for several months now, and such frailties could only be exposed more without the bright Bella-Kotchap marshalling the backline.
Bournemouth's extra rest day will also work in their favour, and we can envisage O'Neil's side keeping their unbeaten run going with a one-goal success versus the out-of-form Saints.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.