Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
West Ham

Perraud (20')
Walker-Peters (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rice (64')
Coufal (52')

Declan Rice rescues point for West Ham United against Southampton

Southampton miss the chance to climb out of the Premier League relegation zone as they are held to a 1-1 draw by West Ham United at St Mary's.

Oct 16, 15:53

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Southampton and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 2-1 Anderlecht
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 1-3 West Ham United

Jarrod Bowen has begun to hit the heights he enjoyed last season, and Scamacca has started scoring at will in West Ham colours, so a demoralised Saints' side may struggle here. Hasenhuttl cannot afford to lose again for a fifth game in succession, but they do not look capable of being a threat to a West Ham side enjoying a very confident spell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	West Ham United
28.7% ( -0.2)	26.7% ( -0.07)	44.6% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98% (

0.18)

55.01% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

0.15)

76.28% (

-0.14)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.06)

34.28% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.06)

70.98% (

0.06)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

0.21)

24.54% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

0.29)

59.02% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Southampton 28.7%

West Ham United 44.6%

Draw 26.7%

Southampton	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.7%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.6%