Man City
4 - 0
Southampton

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Lionel Messi scoring record under Pep Guardiola

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on October 8, 2022

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Lionel Messi's scoring record under Pep Guardiola after finding the net in Manchester City's 4-0 Premier League win against Southampton.

Manchester City go top with four-goal victory over Southampton

Manchester City's Phil Foden celebrates scoring against Southampton on October 8, 2022

Manchester City move to the top of the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Southampton.

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 5-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Everton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Manchester City 4-0 Southampton

Man City may have struggled to breach Southampton's backline the last time that they locked horns on home soil, but the Citizens now possess a goal-hungry striker in the form of Haaland who is showing no signs of slowing down. With Guardiola set to name a stronger side to the one selected in midweek, we expect the reigning champions to ease to victory against the Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Southampton
81.83% ( -0.03)	11.24% ( 0.02)	6.93% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.81% (

-0.1)

23.19% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.49% (

-0.13)

42.51% (

0.13)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.79% (

-0.02)

4.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.45% (

-0.07)

17.55% (

0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34% (

-0.07)

41.66% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.86% (

-0.07)

78.14% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.83%

Southampton 6.93%

Draw 11.24%

Manchester City	Draw	Southampton
3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 81.83%	1-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 11.24%	1-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 6.93%

How you voted: Man City vs Southampton

Manchester City

86.4%

Draw

7.0%

Southampton

6.6%

Head to Head

Mar 20, 2022 3pm

1-4

Laporte (45+2' og.)

Sterling (12'), De Bruyne (62' pen.), Foden (75'), Mahrez (78')
Steffen (71')

Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm

1-1

Walker-Peters (7')
Bednarek (33'), Armstrong (79'), Elyounoussi (90+2')

Laporte (65')

Sep 18, 2021 3pm

0-0

Walker-Peters (52'), Livramento (84')

Mar 10, 2021 6pm

5-2

De Bruyne (15', 59'), Mahrez (40', 55'), Gundogan (45+3')
Fernandinho (82')

Ward-Prowse (25' pen.), Adams (56')

Dec 19, 2020 3pm

0-1

Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton

Romeu (38'), Ward-Prowse (42')

Sterling (16')
De Bruyne (25'), Ederson (81')

Form Guide

Man City 5-0 Copenhagen

Man City 6-3 Man Utd

Wolves 0-3 Man City

Man City 2-1 Dortmund

Sevilla 0-4 Man City

Aston Villa 1-1 Man City

Southampton 1-2 Everton

Wolves 1-0 Southampton

Southampton 2-1 Chelsea

Southampton 0-1 Man Utd

Cambridge 0-3 Southampton

Build-up

Erling Braut Haaland in action for Manchester City on October 5, 2022

Pep Guardiola: 'You cannot compare Erling Braut Haaland with Lionel Messi'

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola insists that no player in world football, including Erling Braut Haaland, can be compared to Lionel Messi.

Ralph Hasenhuttl: 'Manchester City will not underestimate us'

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl on August 13, 2022

Ralph Hasenhuttl believes that Premier League champions Manchester City "will not underestimate" his Southampton side ahead of Saturday's encounter at the Etihad Stadium.

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne aiming to break Premier League assist record

Kevin De Bruyne in action for Manchester City on August 13, 2022

Kevin De Bruyne will be looking to break a Premier League assist record when Manchester City welcome Southampton to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Kevin De Bruyne's record vs. Southampton

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne in action with Southampton's Cedric Soares and Oriol Romeu on November 29, 2017

Sports Mole takes a closer look at Kevin De Bruyne's record for Manchester City against Southampton from 12 previous meetings across all competitions.

Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Southampton

Manchester City's Kyle Walker receives medical attention on October 2, 2022

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Southampton on Saturday.

How Manchester City could line up against Southampton

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola celebrates their third goal on October 2, 2022

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.