Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Leeds

Edouard (24'), Eze (76')
Doucoure (14'), Guehi (38'), Olise (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Struijk (10')
Struijk (50'), Kristensen (79'), Koch (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds United

With the pressure increasing on both managers when it comes to getting points on the board, they can ill-afford another setback here. With that in mind, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely result, one which will keep their tallies ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Leeds United
45.97% ( -0.88)	25.34% ( 0.12)	28.69% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41% (

-0.05)

49.6% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38% (

-0.04)

71.62% (

0.05)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42% (

-0.41)

21.58% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.33% (

-0.63)

54.67% (

0.64)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56% (

0.55)

31.44% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.18% (

0.63)

67.82% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 45.96%

Leeds United 28.69%

Draw 25.33%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.69%