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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
Leeds logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Leeds

Edouard (24'), Eze (76')
Doucoure (14'), Guehi (38'), Olise (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Struijk (10')
Struijk (50'), Kristensen (79'), Koch (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds United

With the pressure increasing on both managers when it comes to getting points on the board, they can ill-afford another setback here. With that in mind, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely result, one which will keep their tallies ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
45.97% (-0.879 -0.88) 25.34% (0.119 0.12) 28.69% (0.764 0.76)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)49.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)71.62% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.407 -0.41)21.58% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.631 -0.63)54.67% (0.636 0.64)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.54900000000001 0.55)31.44% (-0.545 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.628 0.63)67.82% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 45.96%
    Leeds United 28.69%
    Draw 25.33%
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.69%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Leeds

Crystal Palace
62.6%
Draw
19.2%
Leeds United
18.1%
265
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
Apr 25, 2022 8pm
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Leeds
1-0
Crystal Palace
Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
4-1
Leeds
Dann (12'), Eze (22'), Costa (42' og.), Ayew (70')
Bamford (27')
Cooper (49'), Klich (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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