Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
45.97% ( -0.88) | 25.34% ( 0.12) | 28.69% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( -0.04) | 71.62% ( 0.05) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% ( -0.41) | 21.58% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% ( -0.63) | 54.67% ( 0.64) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 0.55) | 31.44% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 0.63) | 67.82% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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