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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
Leeds logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Leeds

Edouard (24'), Eze (76')
Doucoure (14'), Guehi (38'), Olise (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Struijk (10')
Struijk (50'), Kristensen (79'), Koch (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds United

With the pressure increasing on both managers when it comes to getting points on the board, they can ill-afford another setback here. With that in mind, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely result, one which will keep their tallies ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
45.97% (-0.879 -0.88) 25.34% (0.119 0.12) 28.69% (0.764 0.76)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)49.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)71.62% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.407 -0.41)21.58% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.631 -0.63)54.67% (0.636 0.64)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.54900000000001 0.55)31.44% (-0.545 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.628 0.63)67.82% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 45.96%
    Leeds United 28.69%
    Draw 25.33%
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.69%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Leeds

Crystal Palace
62.6%
Draw
19.2%
Leeds United
18.1%
265
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
Apr 25, 2022 8pm
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Leeds
1-0
Crystal Palace
Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
4-1
Leeds
Dann (12'), Eze (22'), Costa (42' og.), Ayew (70')
Bamford (27')
Cooper (49'), Klich (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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