Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.