Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.