Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Goodison Park
We said: Everton 1-1 Leicester City
With Leicester yet to win a game this season in which they have conceded, Everton can feel confident of gleaning at least a point should they find the back of the net on home soil.
Both defences have proven themselves to be solid in recent weeks, and Leicester cannot expect to hit four goals on the road like they did at Molineux, so we can envisage a third successive 1-1 draw between the sides at Goodison Park.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.53% . A win for Leicester City had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.56%) . The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood .
Result Everton Draw Leicester City 41.53% ( 0.03) 24.79% ( 0.01) 33.69% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.05)
54.86% ( -0.05) 45.14% ( 0.05)
32.51% ( -0.05) 67.49% ( 0.05)
78.25% ( -0.01) 21.75% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.08% ( -0.01) 54.93% ( 0.01)
74.09% ( -0.05) 25.91% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.1% ( -0.07) 60.9% ( 0.07)
Everton 41.53%
Leicester City 33.69%
Draw 24.79%
Everton Draw Leicester City 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.53% 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.69%
How you voted: Everton vs Leicester
Everton
Draw
Leicester City
328
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 22:15:18
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