We said: Everton 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Everton are in desperate need of all three points, but we are finding it really difficult to back the Toffees at the moment, particularly against a strong Wolves outfit. A draw would not be the worst result in the world for either side, and we can see the two teams sharing the spoils on Sunday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.