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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leicester logo

Fulham
5 - 3
Leicester

Willian (10', 70'), Vinicius (18'), Cairney (44', 51')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Barnes (59', 89'), Maddison (81' pen.)
Barnes (24'), Maddison (58'), Soumare (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City's Premier League survival hopes suffer possibly their most damaging blow yet in a chaotic 5-3 defeat to mid-table Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Everton
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeicester City
38.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.94%36.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.44% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 38.33%
    Leicester City 36.72%
    Draw 24.93%
FulhamDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.72%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leicester

Fulham
45.8%
Draw
25.4%
Leicester City
28.9%
142
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
gameweek 22
Fulham
0-2
Leicester

Reed (24'), Aina (59'), Cavaleiro (89')
Iheanacho (17'), Justin (44')
Mendy (72')
Nov 30, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 10
Leicester
1-2
Fulham
Barnes (86')
Lookman (30'), Cavaleiro (38' pen.)
Reed (18'), Adarabioyo (89')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
gameweek 30
Leicester
3-1
Fulham
Tielemans (21'), Vardy (78', 86')
Ayite (51')
Babel (55'), Bryan (60')
Dec 5, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Fulham
1-1
Leicester
Kamara (42')
Maddison (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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