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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leicester logo

Fulham
5 - 3
Leicester

Willian (10', 70'), Vinicius (18'), Cairney (44', 51')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Barnes (59', 89'), Maddison (81' pen.)
Barnes (24'), Maddison (58'), Soumare (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City's Premier League survival hopes suffer possibly their most damaging blow yet in a chaotic 5-3 defeat to mid-table Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Everton
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeicester City
38.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.94%36.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.44% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 38.33%
    Leicester City 36.72%
    Draw 24.93%
FulhamDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.72%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leicester

Fulham
45.8%
Draw
25.4%
Leicester City
28.9%
142
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
gameweek 22
Fulham
0-2
Leicester

Reed (24'), Aina (59'), Cavaleiro (89')
Iheanacho (17'), Justin (44')
Mendy (72')
Nov 30, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 10
Leicester
1-2
Fulham
Barnes (86')
Lookman (30'), Cavaleiro (38' pen.)
Reed (18'), Adarabioyo (89')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
gameweek 30
Leicester
3-1
Fulham
Tielemans (21'), Vardy (78', 86')
Ayite (51')
Babel (55'), Bryan (60')
Dec 5, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Fulham
1-1
Leicester
Kamara (42')
Maddison (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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