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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Leicester

Sinisterra (20')
Ayling (41'), Rodrigo (45+2'), Roca (53'), Cooper (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vardy (80')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (67')

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Vardy's late strike rescues a point for Leicester City in a 1-1 draw with Premier League relegation rivals Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.8% (0.11 0.11) 23.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 42.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-0.151 -0.15)36.6% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)58.76% (0.165 0.16)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)21.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)17.9% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)48.69% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 34.8%
    Leicester City 42.13%
    Draw 23.06%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
29.8%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
52.4%
168
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')

Koch (43')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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