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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Leicester

Sinisterra (20')
Ayling (41'), Rodrigo (45+2'), Roca (53'), Cooper (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vardy (80')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (67')

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Vardy's late strike rescues a point for Leicester City in a 1-1 draw with Premier League relegation rivals Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.8% (0.11 0.11) 23.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 42.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-0.151 -0.15)36.6% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)58.76% (0.165 0.16)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)21.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)17.9% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)48.69% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 34.8%
    Leicester City 42.13%
    Draw 23.06%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
29.8%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
52.4%
168
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')

Koch (43')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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