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Premier League
Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Burnley logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Burnley

Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leeds United 1-0 Burnley

 Even if Bamford is only fit enough to turn out for 45 or 60 minutes on Sunday, the England international's comeback will certainly aid Leeds' prospects of a priceless three points in this basement battle. Burnley did not simply roll over against Man United, but their away-day struggles and COVID-related absences will likely hinder their chances of a positive result as they begin 2022 on the back foot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
51.62%25.14%23.23%
Both teams to score 49.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21%52.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58%74.41%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29%37.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51%74.48%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.61%
    Burnley 23.23%
    Draw 25.14%
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.23%
2-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United
73.2%
Draw
16.6%
Burnley
10.2%
157
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
> Match Report
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
> Match Report
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-2
Leeds
 Leeds win 5-3 on penalties
Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')
Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')
Apr 9, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Leeds
Arfield (2')
Barton (59')

Murphy (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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