Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 0-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.