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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Brentford logo

Luton
1 - 5
Brentford

Berry (90+2')
Doughty (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wissa (24', 45+1'), Pinnock (62'), Lewis-Potter (64'), Schade (86')
Pinnock (38'), Damsgaard (48')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford thrash relegation rivals Luton Town 5-1 to boost their own survival hopes while severely damaging their hosts' chances of avoiding the drop.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Luton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBrentford
38.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.7% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)39.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.26% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.012 -0.01)53.02% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86%54.14%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.89%
    Brentford 37.41%
    Draw 23.7%
Luton TownDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Brentford

Luton Town
26.4%
Draw
17.9%
Brentford
55.7%
235
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Brentford
3-1
Luton
Maupay (49'), Mee (56'), Baptiste (81')
Norgaard (81')
Brown (76')
Kaminski (38'), Chong (50')
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 25
Brentford
1-0
Luton
Ghoddos (14')
Mbeumo (32'), Toney (81'), Toney (90+5')
Toney (90+5')

Bradley (39')
Lockyer (90+5')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Luton
0-3
Brentford

Hylton (54')
Henry (20'), Toney (29'), Forss (76')
Janelt (90')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Brentford
7-0
Luton
Mbeumo (6'), Watkins (29'), Jensen (33'), Dasilva (40', 45', 87' pen.), Benrahma (71' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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