Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Brentford |
38.89% ( -0.01) | 23.7% ( 0) | 37.41% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.6% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.6% ( -0.01) | 39.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.26% ( -0.01) | 61.74% ( 0.01) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( -0.01) | 20.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( -0.01) | 53.02% ( 0.01) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( -0) | 21.24% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% | 54.14% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Brentford |
2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.89% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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