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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Luton Town

Brentford
3 - 1
Luton

Maupay (49'), Mee (56'), Baptiste (81')
Norgaard (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (76')
Kaminski (38'), Chong (50')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford snap a two-game losing run in the Premier League with a 3-1 victory over Luton Town at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
45.27% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 25.59% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.14% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)50.41% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)72.34% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.24% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.67% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.113 -0.11)31.54% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)67.93% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 45.27%
    Luton Town 29.14%
    Draw 25.58%
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.27%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Brentford vs Luton

Brentford
80.8%
Draw
14.1%
Luton Town
5.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 25
Brentford
1-0
Luton
Ghoddos (14')
Mbeumo (32'), Toney (81'), Toney (90+5')
Toney (90+5')

Bradley (39')
Lockyer (90+5')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Luton
0-3
Brentford

Hylton (54')
Henry (20'), Toney (29'), Forss (76')
Janelt (90')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Brentford
7-0
Luton
Mbeumo (6'), Watkins (29'), Jensen (33'), Dasilva (40', 45', 87' pen.), Benrahma (71' pen.)
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brentford
Wilkinson (40'), Zola (78')
Hofmann (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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