Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton1 - 0Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Luton Town display a resilient performance to hold on to a crucial 1-0 win over Newcastle United at Kenilworth Road this afternoon.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man City
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Newcastle United |
29.53% ( 0.81) | 24.18% ( 0.28) | 46.28% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( -0.78) | 44.09% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.77) | 66.47% ( 0.76) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.16) | 28.03% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.31% ( 0.21) | 63.69% ( -0.21) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.75) | 19.2% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.11% ( -1.26) | 50.88% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 29.53%
Newcastle United 46.28%
Draw 24.18%
| Luton Town | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.28% |
How you voted: Luton vs Newcastle
Luton Town
32.8%Draw
12.7%Newcastle United
54.5%134
Head to Head
Form Guide
