Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Newcastle

Townsend (25')
Barkley (56'), Mengi (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guimaraes (90+8'), Hall (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town display a resilient performance to hold on to a crucial 1-0 win over Newcastle United at Kenilworth Road this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man City
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Newcastle United
29.53% ( 0.81)	24.18% ( 0.28)	46.28% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 58.14% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91% (

-0.78)

44.09% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53% (

-0.77)

66.47% (

0.76)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

0.16)

28.03% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

0.21)

63.69% (

-0.21)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

-0.75)

19.2% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.11% (

-1.26)

50.88% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 29.53%

Newcastle United 46.28%

Draw 24.18%

Luton Town	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.53%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.28%