Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
49.51% | 24.58% ( -0) | 25.91% |
Both teams to score 54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% ( 0) | 48.27% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% ( 0) | 70.41% ( -0) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% | 19.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.58% ( 0) | 51.42% ( -0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% | 32.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.52% ( 0) | 69.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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