We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Manchester City
A mouthwatering battle between Haaland and the physically-imposing pair of Nathan Collins and Max Kilman should be a fascinating watch this Saturday lunchtime, and City's attack must be firing on all cylinders to break down Wolves' walls.
The introduction of Costa does not mean that the hosts' attacking woes will be fixed overnight, though, and we still expect the champions to rise to the summit with a hard-fought three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.