Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.