Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
0 - 1
Spurs

Lockyer (19'), Morris (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

van de Ven (52')
Bissouma (38'), Hojbjerg (68')
Bissouma (45+4')

Ange Postecoglou staying grounded as Tottenham go top of Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur manager Ange Postecoglou refuses to get carried away after his side beat Luton Town 1-0 to go top of the Premier League.

Oct 7, 17:59

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Liverpool
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
39.32% ( -0.01)	24.04% ( 0.02)	36.63% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.85% (

-0.09)

41.14% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.46% (

-0.09)

63.54% (

0.09)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-0.04)

21.07% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-0.07)

53.88% (

0.06)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

-0.05)

22.41% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

-0.07)

55.93% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 39.32%

Tottenham Hotspur 36.63%

Draw 24.04%

Luton Town	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 39.32%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.63%