Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.