Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 15, 2021 at 2pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 4
West Ham

Wilson (5'), Murphy (40')
Shelvey (51')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cresswell (18'), Benrahma (53'), Soucek (63'), Antonio (66')

Steve Bruce questions key penalty decision after Newcastle ship four to West Ham

Steve Bruce's side led twice but ended up losing on the opening weekend of the Premier League season.

Aug 15, 17:36

The Match

Match Report

The hosts took the lead twice at St James' Park but fell to an opening day defeat.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	West Ham United
21.82%	24.65%	53.53%

Both teams to score 49.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.74%

52.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04%

73.96%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23%

38.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49%

75.51%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66%

51.34%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 21.82%

West Ham United 53.52%

Draw 24.65%

Newcastle United	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 7.16% 2-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.82%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 12.35% 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 5.22% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.52%