Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.