Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fulham in this match.