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Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leeds logo

Southampton
2 - 2
Leeds

Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds appear to have a more coherent strategy than Southampton at present, so we can see them winning in what should be an open, entertaining affair. The Saints do have individual quality, but it may take time for them to click having changed formation and signed several young players this summer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
39.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.45% (-0.161 -0.16) 32.88% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 49.07% (0.519 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (0.635 0.63)56.5% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (0.51 0.51)77.49% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (0.29599999999999 0.3)27.82% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (0.379 0.38)63.41% (-0.38 -0.38)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.441 0.44)32.02% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.5 0.5)68.49% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 39.66%
    Leeds United 32.87%
    Draw 27.45%
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.91% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leeds

Southampton
29.5%
Draw
19.0%
Leeds United
51.4%
210
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
Feb 23, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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