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Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leeds logo

Southampton
2 - 2
Leeds

Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds appear to have a more coherent strategy than Southampton at present, so we can see them winning in what should be an open, entertaining affair. The Saints do have individual quality, but it may take time for them to click having changed formation and signed several young players this summer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
39.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.45% (-0.161 -0.16) 32.88% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 49.07% (0.519 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (0.635 0.63)56.5% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (0.51 0.51)77.49% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (0.29599999999999 0.3)27.82% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (0.379 0.38)63.41% (-0.38 -0.38)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.441 0.44)32.02% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.5 0.5)68.49% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 39.66%
    Leeds United 32.87%
    Draw 27.45%
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.91% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leeds

Southampton
29.5%
Draw
19.0%
Leeds United
51.4%
210
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
Feb 23, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa5401107312
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford6213810-27
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Everton6114715-84
16Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
17Crystal Palace603359-43
18Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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