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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Wolves logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Wolves

Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Podence (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
    Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
      Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Leeds United 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

       While both managers will be satisfied with how their respective pre-seasons played out, we can see only one winner at the weekend. Without a recognised centre-forward in their squad, Wolves would take a draw if it was handed to them right now, but Leeds should have enough quality and enthusiasm to run out comfortable victors. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

      Result
      Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
      47.25% (0.22 0.22) 27.65% (0.332 0.33) 25.1% (-0.55 -0.55)
      Both teams to score 44.45% (-1.319 -1.32)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      39.65% (-1.463 -1.46)60.35% (1.464 1.46)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      19.5% (-1.12 -1.12)80.5% (1.123 1.12)
      Leeds United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.36% (-0.55300000000001 -0.55)25.64% (0.555 0.56)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.47% (-0.76 -0.76)60.53% (0.762 0.76)
      Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      59.78% (-1.318 -1.32)40.22% (1.32 1.32)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      23.15% (-1.221 -1.22)76.85% (1.222 1.22)
      Score Analysis
          Leeds United 47.25%
          Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.1%
          Draw 27.64%
      Leeds UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
      1-0 @ 14.03% (0.54 0.54)
      2-0 @ 9.55% (0.22 0.22)
      2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
      3-0 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
      3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
      3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
      4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Other @ 2.07%
      Total : 47.25%
      		1-1 @ 12.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
      0-0 @ 10.31% (0.554 0.55)
      2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
      Other @ 0.59%
      Total : 27.64%
      		0-1 @ 9.39% (0.179 0.18)
      1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.193 -0.19)
      0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
      1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
      0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
      2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
      Other @ 1.34%
      Total : 25.1%

      How you voted: Leeds vs Wolves

      Leeds United
      54.6%
      Draw
      21.1%
      Wolverhampton Wanderers
      24.3%
      280
      Head to Head
      Mar 18, 2022 8pm
      Wolves
      2-3
      Leeds
      Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
      Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
      Jimenez (53')
      Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
      Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
      Oct 23, 2021 3pm
      Leeds
      1-1
      Wolves
      Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
      Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
      Hee-chan (10')
      Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
      Feb 19, 2021 8pm
      Wolves
      1-0
      Leeds
      Meslier (64' og.)
      Neto (90+1')
      Oct 19, 2020 8pm
      Leeds
      0-1
      Wolves

      Ayling (15'), Phillips (61')
      Jimenez (70')
      Moutinho (66')
      Mar 7, 2018 7.45pm
      Leeds
      0-3
      Wolves

      Forshaw (23'), Hernandez (64')
      Saiss (28'), Boly (45'), Afobe (74')
      > Match Report
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Liverpool119112161528
      2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
      3Chelsea115422113819
      4Arsenal115421812619
      5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
      6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
      7Fulham115331613318
      8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
      9Aston Villa115331717018
      10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
      11Brentford115152222016
      12Bournemouth114341515015
      13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
      14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
      15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
      16Everton112451017-710
      17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
      18Crystal Palace11146815-77
      19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
      20Southampton11119721-144
      > Premier League Full Table


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