Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Kane (19', 35' pen.), Heung-min (62')
Conte (56'), Skipp (69'), Dier (71'), Hojbjerg (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Worrall (81')
Lodi (55'), Cooper (90+9')

Antonio Conte: 'Top four is like winning title for Tottenham Hotspur'

Antonio Conte claims that finishing in the top four with Tottenham Hotspur would be akin to winning the Premier League following their 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest.

Mar 11, 20:28

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Everton
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Nottingham Forest
68.45% ( 0.01)	19.63% ( 0.42)	11.92% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

-2.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

-2.77)

48.24% (

2.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

-2.59)

70.39% (

2.59)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.96% (

-0.82)

13.04% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.39% (

-1.7)

39.61% (

1.7)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.8% (

-2.45)

49.2% (

2.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.91% (

-1.8)

84.1% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 68.45%

Nottingham Forest 11.92%

Draw 19.63%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 1.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.67% Total : 68.45%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.63%	0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.92%