Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Leeds

Johnson (14')
Danilo (30'), Boly (52'), Williams (55'), Surridge (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Struijk (13'), Wober (77')

The Match

Match Report

Brennan Johnson scores the only goal of the match as Nottingham Forest record a 1-0 victory over Leeds United in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Leeds United
32.78% ( 0.36)	26.09% ( -0.15)	41.13% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92% (

0.73)

51.08% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06% (

0.64)

72.94% (

-0.64)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

0.6)

29.36% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

0.73)

65.34% (

-0.73)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

0.22)

24.54% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99% (

0.31)

59.01% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 32.78%

Leeds United 41.13%

Draw 26.08%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.78%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.13%