Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
43.33% | 27.35% | 29.32% |
Both teams to score 48.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.84% | 57.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.98% | 78.02% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% | 61.23% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% | 34.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% | 71.67% |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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