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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 12pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 4
Southampton

Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

The Saints move up to third place with their 4-3 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
32.07%25.71%42.22%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62%23.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.07%
    Southampton 42.22%
    Draw 25.7%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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