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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 12pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 4
Southampton

Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

The Saints move up to third place with their 4-3 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
32.07%25.71%42.22%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62%23.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.07%
    Southampton 42.22%
    Draw 25.7%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
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FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
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@
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FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
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19-9
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30-36
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33-36
Washington
9.05pm
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@
Seahawks
9.25pm
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Dolphins
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Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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