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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 23, 2020 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Leeds logo

Aston Villa
0 - 3
Leeds


Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Patrick Bamford is on six goals for the season after Leeds inflicted Villa's first Premier League loss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday night's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
26.15%24.42%49.44%
Both teams to score 54.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42%69.58%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78%32.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29%68.72%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8%19.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12%50.89%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 26.15%
    Leeds United 49.44%
    Draw 24.41%
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.15%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 45
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Klich (72')
Hernandez (14'), Cooper (21'), Klich (63'), Bamford (75')
Adomah (77')
Hourihane (75'), McGinn (80')
El Ghazi (75')
Dec 23, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Aston Villa
2-3
Leeds
Abraham (5'), Hourihane (17')
Bolasie (7'), McGinn (81')
Clarke (56'), Jansson (61'), Roofe (90')
Klich (69'), Alioski (87'), Roofe (90')
Apr 13, 2018 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2017 7.45pm
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Jansson (19')
Jansson (73'), Saiz (76')
Lansbury (70')
Hourihane (27'), Snodgrass (45'), Hutton (90')
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Leeds
Kodjia (85' pen.)
Bacuna (86'), Gestede (86'), Chester (92')
Jansson (54')
Bridcutt (59'), Cooper (85'), Jansson (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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