Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
58.08% ( 0.01) | 23.42% | 18.51% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0) | 51.42% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0) | 73.23% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% ( 0.01) | 17.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.09% ( 0.01) | 47.92% ( -0) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.15% ( 0) | 41.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% ( 0) | 78.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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