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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Leicester
4 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Maddison (25', 35'), Barnes (27'), Daka (73')
Soumare (71'), Maddison (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Williams (18'), Kouyate (33'), Lingard (64'), Cook (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Nottingham Forest

If any game had the makings of a drab and dull 0-0, this is certainly not one of them, as Leicester's defensive shortcomings continue to cancel out their relatively successful attacking phases. Forest have been leaking goals at an alarming rate themselves, and Leicester still possess a number of difference-makers capable of getting their side out of a sticky situation, and we can picture the Foxes finally getting on the board to relieve some of the pressure on Rodgers's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
58.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.42%18.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 58.06%
    Nottingham Forest 18.51%
    Draw 23.41%
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.51%

How you voted: Leicester vs Nott'm Forest

Leicester City
68.0%
Draw
14.5%
Nottingham Forest
17.4%
413
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Nott'm Forest
4-1
Leicester
Zinckernagel (23'), Johnson (24'), Worrall (32'), Spence (61')
Garner (65')
Iheanacho (40')
Ndidi (59'), Maddison (74')
May 4, 2013 12.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Leicester
Ward (50'), Cox (3')
Lansbury (49')
King (43'), James (24'), Knockaert (90')
Morgan (39'), Knockaert (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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