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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Leicester
4 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Maddison (25', 35'), Barnes (27'), Daka (73')
Soumare (71'), Maddison (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Williams (18'), Kouyate (33'), Lingard (64'), Cook (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Nottingham Forest

If any game had the makings of a drab and dull 0-0, this is certainly not one of them, as Leicester's defensive shortcomings continue to cancel out their relatively successful attacking phases. Forest have been leaking goals at an alarming rate themselves, and Leicester still possess a number of difference-makers capable of getting their side out of a sticky situation, and we can picture the Foxes finally getting on the board to relieve some of the pressure on Rodgers's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
58.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.42%18.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 58.06%
    Nottingham Forest 18.51%
    Draw 23.41%
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.51%

How you voted: Leicester vs Nott'm Forest

Leicester City
68.0%
Draw
14.5%
Nottingham Forest
17.4%
413
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Nott'm Forest
4-1
Leicester
Zinckernagel (23'), Johnson (24'), Worrall (32'), Spence (61')
Garner (65')
Iheanacho (40')
Ndidi (59'), Maddison (74')
May 4, 2013 12.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Leicester
Ward (50'), Cox (3')
Lansbury (49')
King (43'), James (24'), Knockaert (90')
Morgan (39'), Knockaert (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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