Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 4 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Manchester City | 4 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Crystal Palace | 5 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | -3 | 4 |
15 | Everton | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 5.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
81.35% ( -0.04) | 12.7% ( 0.27) | 5.95% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 41.94% ( -2.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.65% ( -2.54) | 36.35% ( 2.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.52% ( -2.84) | 58.48% ( 2.84) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.16% ( -0.53) | 6.84% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.8% ( -1.45) | 25.2% ( 1.45) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.02% ( -2.58) | 54.98% ( 2.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.13% ( -1.61) | 87.87% ( 1.61) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.91) 3-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.95) 4-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.34) 5-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.26) 6-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.23) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.66% Total : 81.34% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.48% Total : 12.7% | 0-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.9% Total : 5.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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