Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.