Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.