Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Braga2 - 2Porto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 33% | 27.22% | 39.77% |
| Both teams to score 49.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% | 76.75% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% | 31.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 33%
Porto 39.77%
Draw 27.21%
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.77% |
How you voted: Braga vs Porto
Braga
31.5%Draw
18.5%Porto
50.0%54
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 34
Braga
2-1
Porto
Horta (54'), Fransergio (66')
Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (50'), Fransergio (70'), Magalhaes (80'), Horta (90')
Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (50'), Fransergio (70'), Magalhaes (80'), Horta (90')
Jan 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 17
Porto
1-2
Braga
Fransergio (5'), Paulinho (75')
Fransergio (6'), Luis (42'), Esgaio (65'), Horta (65'), Palhinha (68'), Magalhaes (83')
Fransergio (6'), Luis (42'), Esgaio (65'), Horta (65'), Palhinha (68'), Magalhaes (83')
