Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril2 - 3Porto
We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Porto
After a sensational start to life in the top flight, Estoril Praia have wobbled in recent weeks, managing just one win from their last seven league outings. They now face the daunting task of going up against a rampant Porto side who have won each of their last 11 league games and are unbeaten so far this season. Porto appear simply unstoppable at the moment and we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 9.43% | 17.09% | 73.48% |
| Both teams to score 43.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
