Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2021 at 9pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Estoril

Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Moreirense 1-2 Estoril Praia

Moreirense have lost each of their last three games and while they will be aiming to end this dry spell, next up is an Estoril Praia side who have been impressive on the road this term. Despite their cup exit, the visitors head into the game as the more in-form side and we are backing them to pick up the win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Estoril Praia
28.29%	26.28%	45.43%

Both teams to score 50.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38%

53.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88%

75.12%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15%

33.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48%

70.52%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47%

23.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42%

57.58%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 28.29%

Estoril Praia 45.42%

Draw 26.28%

Moreirense	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.29%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.42%