Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
21.1% | 24.75% | 54.16% |
Both teams to score 48.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% | 53.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% | 74.91% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.87% | 40.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.23% | 76.78% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% | 19.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% | 51.64% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.1% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 0-2 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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