Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 1
Porto

Gouveia (41')
Carvalho (23'), Ndiaye (45+1'), Martins (56'), Geraldes (57'), Alvaro (90+11'), Figueira (90+11'), Vital (90+13')
Ndiaye (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taremi (90+9' pen.)
Franco (5'), Cardoso (59'), Grujic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 0-4 Brugge
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Braga	6	16	16
3	Porto	6	11	15
4	Portimonense	7	2	15

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Porto

While Estoril Praia will be looking to make it two wins from two in the league for the first time since September 2021, they have struggled to grind out results against Porto, who are unbeaten in their last 10 encounters. We predict that the league champions will extend their dominance over the hosts by claiming a resounding victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
9.98% ( -0.46)	17.55% ( 0.14)	72.47% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 44.17% (

-2.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.5% (

-2.01)

44.5% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.13% (

-1.97)

66.87% (

1.97)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.55% (

-2.22)

50.45% (

2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.03% (

-1.57)

84.97% (

1.56)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.14% (

-0.46)

10.86% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.02% (

-1.03)

34.98% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 9.98%

Porto 72.46%

Draw 17.55%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.98%	1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.55%	0-2 @ 13.5% ( 0.65) 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.81) 0-3 @ 9.99% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.24) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) 0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.46%