MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:25:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon

Estoril
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

While Sporting Lisbon have stumbled into the new season, they possess the firepower needed to turn things around. Amorim's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while Estoril Praia have proven to be a tough nut to crack this season, we are backing them to grind out a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
16.21% (-0.361 -0.36) 20.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 62.87% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.23% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (-0.627 -0.63)44.76% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-0.607 -0.61)67.12% (0.607 0.61)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.831 -0.83)40.69% (0.832 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.757 -0.76)77.28% (0.75699999999999 0.76)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.62% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (-0.176 -0.18)40.77% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 16.21%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.86%
    Draw 20.92%
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.47% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.92%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 11.01% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.32% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.65% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.86%

How you voted: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon

Estoril Praia
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Sporting Lisbon
64.1%
78
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
Feb 25, 2017 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!