Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 18, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Portimonense1 - 1Arouca
We said: Portimonense 2-1 Arouca
Portimonense head into the game in resurgent form, claiming four wins from their last five games in all competitions. Arouca, meanwhile, have struggled to get going away from home this season and we anticipate the Portimao-based outfit will make use of their home advantage and come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Arouca |
| 39.95% | 28.02% | 32.04% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
