Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
43.04% | 27.05% | 29.9% |
Both teams to score 49.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.17% | 55.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% | 76.94% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% | 60.6% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% | 33.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% | 70.45% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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