Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo1 - 2Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Maritimo
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Maritimo 1-2 Casa Pia
Casa Pia will fancy their chances of maintaining their fine run of results as they go up against an out-of-sorts Maritimo side who have endured a horrid start to the season. Martins's side have picked up seven points from a possible nine away from home this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.05% ( 0.13) | 27.28% ( -0.06) | 32.67% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
