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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Casa Pia

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 3
Casa Pia

Butzke (17', 90+6')
Delgado (55'), Lima (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Godwin (58'), Neto (60'), Clayton (74')
Fernandes (43'), Bolgado (52'), Neto (64'), Clayton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia have been solid at the defensive end of the pitch this season and will fancy their chances against a Pacos de Ferreira side who have scored just twice this season. However, we predict the Pacenses will do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils and end their losing streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawCasa Pia
41.85% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 26.86% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 31.29% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (-0.318 -0.32)54.61% (0.321 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (-0.265 -0.27)75.95% (0.267 0.27)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.11 -0.11)25.76% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.151 -0.15)60.7% (0.154 0.15)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.258 -0.26)32.16% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.297 -0.3)68.64% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 41.85%
    Casa Pia 31.29%
    Draw 26.85%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Casa Pia

Pacos de Ferreira
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Casa Pia
25.0%
8
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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