Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
12.49% | 19.8% | 67.7% |
Both teams to score 45.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% | 47.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% | 69.84% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.14% | 47.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.87% | 83.12% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.92% | 13.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.31% | 39.69% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.61% 2-1 @ 3.46% 2-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.8% | 0-2 @ 12.95% 0-1 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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