Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
25.54% | 25.08% | 49.37% |
Both teams to score 52.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.38% | 50.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.47% | 72.53% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% | 34.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.82% | 71.18% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% | 20.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% | 53.01% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 7.53% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.54% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 4.99% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |