Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.