Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 79.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for had a probability of 6.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.42%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a win it was 0-1 (2.44%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
79.64% | 13.5% | 6.86% |
Both teams to score 44.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.69% | 36.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.55% | 58.45% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.81% | 7.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.89% | 26.11% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.75% | 52.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.83% | 86.17% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 13.02% 3-0 @ 11.42% 1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.45% 4-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-1 @ 4.88% 5-0 @ 3.96% 5-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.41% 6-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.59% 6-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.63% Total : 79.64% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.58% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.44% 1-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |