Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 15, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica4 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 41.18% | 25.94% | 32.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
