Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.88%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
| 6.48% | 13.54% | 79.97% |
| Both teams to score 41.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
